disarmament through testing
that's a funny idea.
where i blather on about stuff and you read it and like it
my marriage with mrs. noz has now seen every sign of the chinese zodiac.
i've been pleasantly surprised that the obama administration has stuck to its guns on demanding that israel freeze settlement construction. they've even brushed aside the usually bullshit about "natural growth." it's really amazing, and it's quite a change from the last two decades, when the u.s. has been officially against settlements but willing to quietly accommodate israeli demands for some form of expansion.
It's not just the administration that's delivering Netanyahu that message, however. Whereas in the past Israeli leaders have sometimes eased pressure from Washington on the settlements issue by going to members of Congress, this time, observers in Washington and Israel say, key pro-Israel allies in Congress have been largely reinforcing the Obama team's message to Netanyahu. What changed? "Members of Congress have more willing to follow the leadership of the administration ... because [they] believe it is in our national security interest to move toward ending the conflict and that it is not a zero sum for Israel," the former senior Clinton administration official said.that's an even bigger change, and one the israelis should take very seriously because congress controls the budgeting of israel's aid package.
"Netanyahu and [Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor] Lieberman are probing, looking for areas they can get space gratis from the United States," says Hussein Ibish, a senior fellow at the American Task Force for Palestine. "And they are not finding it."
"We've been watching the move in Congress, especially among certain high profile Jewish American members -- people like Representative Gary Ackerman, Representative Robert Wexler, and Representative Howard Berman," Ibish said. "What has occurred -- and this has been greatly intensified by the election of Obama: There has been a growing sense of members of Congress who are well-informed on foreign policy ... that peace is essential to the American national interest and the Israeli national interest. And there's been a growing sense that the possibility of a two-state agreement is time-limited and that things like the settlements are incompatible with the goal of creating two states."
the free state project doesn't seem to be taking off. so some libertarians are giving up on new hampshire and heading out to sea. it's not really going galt, more like going costner.
i'm not sure if this will be entertaining to anyone who didn't have the al-kitaab experience, but trust me. this is hilarious:
there's something a little bit crazy about the netanyahu government negotiating with the united states over whether it can continue to build settlements on the west bank. i guess they want to look like they're negotiating, but refuse to do it with the representatives of the people who actually live there. so instead, they start haggling with another country on another continent half a world away.
since at least 2003, kashgar has been on my personal lists of places that i really wanted to see. it may not be on that list much longer.
actually, karl rove has it completely backwards. affirmative action might help someone get into an ivy league school (whether for race, sex, or alumni connections). it won't, however, make that person graduate with the highest honors.
the michelle bachmann comic book is coming!
the most interesting thing about conservative attacks on obama's health reform plan is that they bear no relation to obama's actual health reform plan. for these attacks to be effective you have to be completely ignorant about every serious health care proposal currently being proposed by the white house or members of congress. so either the conservatives making these arguments are completely ignorant about the actual health care debate, or they're just trying to mislead the american public because they can't address the merits of the actual proposals.
i'd like to second the nomination of brendan skwire as columnist for the philadelphia inquirer.
i love "secret reports" leaked from intelligence agency. because they're "secret" they must be credible even though they're effectively unsourced. plus, they're not really secret if they're leaked. and few articles about "secret reports" both to note that leaks are sometimes done on purpose and when they are often are done for political reasons, which would further undermine the credibility of the secret report.
Mining Minister Luis Alberto Echazu dismissed allegations in a secret Israeli government report, saying "there isn't even a geological study (of uranium deposits), much less export" of uranium to another country.via steve hynd from the comments. hynd's post about the matter is here.
i'm off to watch reverend black preside over the opposite marriage of a pair of friends.
as cheney's latest media blitz continues, i keep thinking back to a conversation i had with MatthewB two weeks ago in which we posed the following thought experiment:
at least that's what all the kool kids call it. i'm on a non-supertrain for a while.
i really think the u.s. has a major credibility problem when it proclaims that iran simply cannot have nuclear weapons. that's not to say that i want iran to go nuclear. i don't at all. but don't they realize how ridiculous and paternalistic it looks for a country sitting on the largest nuclear arsenal in the world talks about who is allowed to have nuclear weapons and who isn't?
will mrs. noz and i get to kazakhstan before franken gets to the senate?


in case you haven't noticed from the lack of posting, i've been pretty busy lately. still, i expect i will find a way to extricate myself and stagger over to center city drinking liberally tonight.
i don't know why i continue to be fascinated by the GOP's ongoing disintegration as a viable national party. you'd think it would get old by now. but no, still fascinating. they've lost ground against the liberal, moderate and conservative demographic, the ultimate political trifecta!
this is pretty funny. i can practically see that bank from my window right now.
obama is now saying that his administration will try detainees before a military commission, contrary to what he said as a candidate. the administration says that his commissions will extend more rights to the accused than his predecessor's.
my french isn't perfect, but it looks like i'm taking over france.
by the power vested in me, i hereby assign amy to get a picture of one of those stores. you know who you are.
either the danger went away or the media just got fixated on a new shiny.
i haven't been able to understand the right's game plan on this pelosi kerfuffle. the left pushed for an inquiry into and/or prosecution of bush-era torture. the right responded first by defending the practice. but that didn't seem to work, so they started on piling on pelosi, claiming that she knew about the torture because she was briefed on it by the CIA.
mustang bobby has already put up an account of our meeting yesterday. i'm not sure what to add. it was great to finally meet MB--and he did show up in a mustang convertable. i am extremely grateful for his tour of miami. riding around with the top down is the perfect remedy to being cooped up in a conference hotel for two days. maybe some day i'll be able to return the favor if MB ever makes it up to my neck of the woods. well, minus the convertable. and the cuban food.
this is another one of those "holy shit" moments. it looks like the conservative movement has lost richard posner. his post about why, by one of the right's leading intellectuals, is really remarkable. matthew yglesias has already excerpted the key bit from the post. but i really can't resist reposting the same part:
My theme is the intellectual decline of conservatism, and it is notable that the policies of the new conservatism are powered largely by emotion and religion and have for the most part weak intellectual groundings. That the policies are weak in conception, have largely failed in execution, and are political flops is therefore unsurprising. The major blows to conservatism, culminating in the election and programs of Obama, have been fourfold: the failure of military force to achieve U.S. foreign policy objectives; the inanity of trying to substitute will for intellect, as in the denial of global warming, the use of religious criteria in the selection of public officials, the neglect of management and expertise in government; a continued preoccupation with abortion; and fiscal incontinence in the form of massive budget deficits, the Medicare drug plan, excessive foreign borrowing, and asset-price inflation.this touches on something that i've thought about a lot lately: the current republican party's own internal dynamics make it impossible to do the things it needs to reverse the failures of its movement. at least in the short term. right now, the party remains committed to the ruins of the failed movement.
By the fall of 2008, the face of the Republican Party had become Sarah Palin and Joe the Plumber. Conservative intellectuals had no party.
And then came the financial crash last September and the ensuing depression. These unanticipated and shocking events have exposed significant analytical weaknesses in core beliefs of conservative economists concerning the business cycle and the macroeconomy generally. Friedmanite monetarism and the efficient-market theory of finance have taken some sharp hits, and there is renewed respect for the macroeconomic thought of John Maynard Kenyes, a conservatives’ bête noire.
hey remember when i said i would post from miami? well, apparently not so much. except this one, of course.
it's mother's day! so i'm off to mom's this morning. then i'm off from there to the airport where i go further off to miami, where i'll be for the next few days.
i guess the community of the republicans on john boehner's blast email list is maximum security prison.
conservative opposition to having a public option in health reform seems to be based on the argument that private insurance companies just can't compete with a public plan. underlying this concern is the notion that, if given a choice, most members of the public will choose the government run plan over the private plans. but that completely undermines the conservatives' usual argument that a public health insurer will lead to less efficiency and worse health outcomes. if that were really true, private plans would have no trouble cleaning the public plan's clock.
arlen specter managed to vote against obama's budget and he voted against the mortgage cramdown amendment, and he announced his opposition to obama's OLC nominee, and he announced his opposition to a central pillar of the administration's health reform plan, and he also announced his opposition to the funding mechanism for an alternative health-care reform proposal (thus effectively threatening to kill the possibility health reform altogether), and he told a reporter that he wanted norm coleman to get the minnesota senate seat over al franken. all that in a single week since he became a democrat!
this is the second poll in as many days to look at potential specter vs. toomey and specter vs. ridge races. the first is here. when is someone going to do a poll that includes sestak? and why are they only asking about cross-party races (e.g. toomey vs. specter and ridge vs. specter) and not the intra-party primary contests(e.g. sestak vs. specter and ridge vs. toomey)?
roy edroso addresses answers the question behind one of my recent obsessions: why the hell are the rightwingers acting so hard to make their party unelectable?
The rightbloggers still think [the Arlen Sspecter defection is] a great thing for their cause. A big part of the reason is that they're accustomed to see everything as a great thing for their cause. But though I am tempted to dismiss this, like many of their puzzling sentiments, as a brain chemical issue, I sense a plan forming: they're really thinking realignment -- Goldwater '64, perhaps, or Jeb Davis '61; they consider the Republican Party too liberal, and are content to reduce it to a rightwing rump in preparation for a a big takeover. Everything depends of Obama washing out completely, and as we've seen they're full of faith that he will.i guess that makes sense. if the republicans shed all but their right wing the party's only hope is that the obama presidency ends with him almost universally viewed as a total failure. at that point the american people would probably accept any alternative, no matter how batshit crazy. such are the perils of the two party system.
last week pat toomey showed up at the center city philadelphia drinking liberally. then he polled twenty points behind arlen specter. coincidence? probably. but why not give your numbers a-thumping too!
this blows my mind. the "invisible car" would only work if you view it from one particular vantage point. if you're a little closer or farther away or if you're standing off to the left or right, the perspective painted on the car wouldn't match the surroundings anymore.

one thing arlen specter is good at, it's looking out for arlen specter. if we want him to stop pulling this shit, we need him to see a real threat to his job. even if the primary challenge is ultimately unsuccessful, the threat alone will get specter voting better. plus a primary challenge could actually work. joe sestak would be a much better senator than specter.
earlier this week, cenk uygur highlighted the fact that condoleezza rice seemed to use the nixonian "it's legal if the president does it, it must be legal" defense. yesterday, scott horton posted a piece for harpers which included a video of her extended remarks to the students and listed some of the more egregious factual errors that condy made.

everything the labor board has done for the past year and a half is now possibly invalid. what a mess.