i predict that bush's 2007 brand-spankin'-bold-new-direction all-american low-carb iraq strategytm will:
(a) include a modest increase in u.s. forces, and
(b) include talk about a lot of other changes, but won't amount to any other practical differences from the current policy.
i also think that by the end of 2007, things won't be any better in iraq than they are now.
in fact, one year from now the only major effect bush's "new" policy will have is it will get mccain to change what he says a little bit as he runs for president. mccain will either have to say bush did the troop increase all wrong ("he didn't increase them enough!" or "he increased them too much!" or "he sent too many right-handed people!" or something), or he will flip-flop and come up with some completely new position on iraq.
so there they are. if i'm wrong, feel free to call me on it next year.
