Tuesday, March 01, 2011

morning thought

for the past week or so, i've been thinking that qadhafi is on his way out. i don't think there's any serious chance that he will regain control of all of libya anymore. but what if the rebels and pro-qadhafi forces settle into an extended stalemate? what would that look like? although it is hardly clear, my understanding is that colonel Q doesn't have control over any contiguous chunk of libya anymore, just a bunch of spots around the mostly western half of the country. is that a viable state? and how long can he hold out if it isn't?