Thursday, June 16, 2016


Fewer and fewer people regularly watch television with commercials, so I don't think these ad buys will influence the election very much. But where presidential candidates buy ads does tell us what they think the swing states are. Clinton just bought ads in the following states: Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Colorado and Nevada.

None of those are surprising, but it might get people to drop the persistent, yet out of date, belief that Pennsylvania is a swinger (as in, to swing). PA hasn't gone red since 1988. Prior to 2008, I would have been surprised that NC is on Clinton's swing state list. Prior to 2006, I would have been surprised about VA. I wonder what surprising states will be on the list in 2020.