Friday, January 13, 2017

Fantasy Trump

It is interesting that Trump is so popular across various competing factions in Libya and that would present an opportunity for a new U.S.-brokered settlement to the Libyan civil war.

But that idea only makes sense if you completely ignore how Donald Trump actual acts. The odds of him wanting to stick his neck out to get involved in that country are basically zero. He is not into spreading stability or democracy around the world. He is not interested in nation-building. He is not going to appoint a special presidential envoy to broker a resolution. Trump has no business interests in Libya, which means he has no interests in that country. Whatever popularity he may have among Libyans, there's nothing in it for him to take advantage of that popularity to do anything constructive there. So nothing constructive will happen.