Sunday, February 25, 2007

the dark kristol

bill kristol always turns out to be wrong when he talks about the middle east. as i've said before, i think his career's gone downhill since city slickers. but i hope that he's at least half right this time:
Kristol added that while “you can’t just suddenly use force,” the question is, “can the President build a predicate if he feels he has to use force.” Kristol was confident: “I think if things have stabilized in Iraq, then you could easily build political support for being much tougher on Iran at the beginning of 2008.”
the part that i hope kristol got right is the idea that bush "can't just suddenly use force" against iran and that he'd first have to build support for the use of force among the american public.

i hope he's right because i don't think bush can. the public is sick of the iraq war and simply doesn't have the appetite for another war. the danger of a war with iran is not that the public will suddenly be clamoring for one but rather that bush will ignore the will of the public and congress, as he is already with the surge, and attack iran anyway.

(also you gotta love the "if things have stabilized in iraq..." thing. that's a really big "if." by uttering that phrase with a straight face, it at least demonstrates that kristol really does believe his own bullshit.)