Tuesday, December 11, 2012

hegemony is fleeting

woo-hoo! a new intelligence assessment of global trends:
"There will not be any hegemonic power," the 166-page report says. "Power will shift to networks and coalitions in a multipolar world."
i'm not sure when the u.s. will cease to be the world's hegemonic power (it may or may not be before 2030, the date of focus in the report), but eventually it will happen. the main question is not if or when, but rather whether the u.s. will stop acting like a hegemonic power when we get to that point. right now, domestic politics makes it hard for american politicians to not act like the u.s. can do anything it wants anywhere on the globe. it's going to be a hard habit to break. and it won't be popular for a politician to be honest with the american people and say "we can't act like that anymore."