With Warren out, I don't see a plausible path for Sanders anymore. His only realistic strategy for capturing the nomination was for it to remain a 3 or more person race until the end, or at least the near end. Then he could cut a deal with Warren to get himself over the top. (It wasn't clear whether he had a plausible path after Super-Tuesday with or without Warren, just because Warren wasn't drawing enough delegates to make it all that different from a 2-person race).
I don't think he has enough support to win a clear majority of the nomination, especially since his predicted surge of new voters has not materialized.
This whole thing is pretty dispiriting, Biden is a disastrous candidate. He completely neutralizes the age/dementia issue against Trump. Biden is so terrible debates he is probably the only Democratic candidate who would lose to Trump in a debate. He is terrible at speaking to ordinary voters and falls back on berating and insulting them when mildly questioned. He took a lot of positions in his long career that look bad was viewed with modern eyes. At a time when the country needs someone to take on white collar crime and corruption directly, his record on bankruptcy and big business cuts exactly in the wrong direction. His current policy positions are unclear on almost every issue.
At least that last one he still has a chance to clean up.
The shocking thing is that he is widely believed to be the most electable based on almost no evidence. Whenever I asked a Biden supporter for specifics, I didn't get any. Just conclusory claims that he would do better in the electoral college, which is just another way of reiterating the baseless claim that he is the most electable. A lot of people just seem to have a gut feeling that Biden is electable, when gut feelings about electabality have a long and well-documented record of being completely off-base.
That's not to say that Sanders doesn't have another long list of his own problems. At least Bernie can generate enthusiasm. My gut tells me that makes him more electable than Biden (in fact, I think all of the original democratic candidates could beat Trump, but Biden is the only one who I seriously worry will blow it). But my gut is probably as unreliable as everyone else's. Guts should really stay out of politics. If they had, we would be in a very different place right now.
I don't think he has enough support to win a clear majority of the nomination, especially since his predicted surge of new voters has not materialized.
This whole thing is pretty dispiriting, Biden is a disastrous candidate. He completely neutralizes the age/dementia issue against Trump. Biden is so terrible debates he is probably the only Democratic candidate who would lose to Trump in a debate. He is terrible at speaking to ordinary voters and falls back on berating and insulting them when mildly questioned. He took a lot of positions in his long career that look bad was viewed with modern eyes. At a time when the country needs someone to take on white collar crime and corruption directly, his record on bankruptcy and big business cuts exactly in the wrong direction. His current policy positions are unclear on almost every issue.
At least that last one he still has a chance to clean up.
The shocking thing is that he is widely believed to be the most electable based on almost no evidence. Whenever I asked a Biden supporter for specifics, I didn't get any. Just conclusory claims that he would do better in the electoral college, which is just another way of reiterating the baseless claim that he is the most electable. A lot of people just seem to have a gut feeling that Biden is electable, when gut feelings about electabality have a long and well-documented record of being completely off-base.
That's not to say that Sanders doesn't have another long list of his own problems. At least Bernie can generate enthusiasm. My gut tells me that makes him more electable than Biden (in fact, I think all of the original democratic candidates could beat Trump, but Biden is the only one who I seriously worry will blow it). But my gut is probably as unreliable as everyone else's. Guts should really stay out of politics. If they had, we would be in a very different place right now.
