Thursday, August 12, 2021

Republicans are stupid to embrace the anti-vaxxers

I don't know if this will prove to be right, but I really feel like the GOP's decision to become the anti-vax party is major political blunder. Sure anti-vax (especially anti-COVID vax) sentiment seems to be at an all-time high. But the committed anti-vaxxers, the ones who won't get a vaccine no matter what are only 15% of the U.S. adult population. Meanwhile, over 70% of the U.S. adult population are at least partially vaccinated. The anti-vax stuff that is on social media and gets amplified in the right wing media is really the views of a small very vocal minority. Even vaccine mandates are fairly popular. It makes sense too. Once you commit to getting a COVID vaccine, its really hard to turn into an anti-vaxxer. No one wants to think they made a mistake. The already vaccinated are going to be extremely hard to convert to the anti-vax cause.

Also, as Josh Marshall points out, the segment of the population with the greatest voter participation (age 65+) is also the segment of the population with the highest rate of vaccination (over 90%). So among likely voters, opinion is even more skewed against the anti-vaxxers.

On top of that, outside their little subculture, anti-vaxxers are really unpopular in the wider- mostlyvaccinated society . I see that attitude in my own life. Anti-vaxxers are blamed for the Delta variant, the new mask requirements, etc., even though the variant arose in India completely independently from the American anti-vaxxers. Knowing that hasn't stopped me from getting pissed off at them. Even if they are not responsible for the Delta variant, their actions make the next dangerous Greek letter more likely.

With most Americans, especially the demographics most likely to vote, increasingly hostile to the anti-vax cause, it seems really dumb for Republicans to hitch themselves to that particular wagon as we head into the midterm campaign season. And sure, the midterms are more than a year away. A lot can happen before them. The COVID situation could be completely different (I sure hope it is). But tarring their own brand with anti-vax lunacy is not a good way to start the Republican campaign to retake Congress.