I am a flip-flopper

My initial thinking about how the crisis in Kazakhstan will affect the crisis in Ukraine has completely flipped. Ten days ago, I thought that Kazakhstan may have saved Ukraine, meaning the turmoil in KZ would occupy the Russian military so they can't invade Ukraine. But now I'm thinking that Putin's determination to invade Ukraine (or at least go to the brink of invasion, I'm still not positive he will do it), may have encouraged Russian forces to withdraw from Kazakhstan soon after they were first deployed there.

Kazakhstan didn't save Ukraine, but maybe Ukraine saved Kazakhstan.